What should happen after a drift alarm?
Author an event stream, label delayed outcomes, and write an investigate/pause/release decision with an accountable role.
Compare rolling means with the reference and separately count delayed error labels. An input alarm is not itself a performance failure.
Cut these cards apart. Use the original example first, then let a partner supply a changed case. Keep sealed/final cards with the teacher until the learner commits a rule.
Observed value: 10
Later error label: False
My prediction and reason:
Observed value: 11
Later error label: False
My prediction and reason:
Observed value: 9
Later error label: False
My prediction and reason:
Observed value: 15
Later error label: False
My prediction and reason:
Observed value: 16
Later error label: True
My prediction and reason:
Observed value: 17
Later error label: True
My prediction and reason:
Later labels are fictional and immediately supplied here; a real response plan must account for label delay.