The cost of an alarm

Write a fictional scenario, assign costs before testing, and defend the threshold with per-case evidence.

Hypothesis and criterion

Name the expected effect, metric and what would count against the hypothesis.

Method and reproducibility

Record fixtures, source, version, parameters, units, controls and how cases are split.

Paired evidence

Case and split Baseline result Changed result Interpretation

Counterexample and revised design

A no-alert policy can look accurate in a rare-target dataset while recall is zero and precision is undefined.

Record your new case and rerun the original cases after redesign.

Individual defence

Explain the mechanism, one exact result and what would overturn your conclusion.

Remaining uncertainty and handover

Costs are scenario assumptions chosen before evaluation, not objective values of people.

Next test: _ . Project filename: _ . Work that is mine and tools I used: ____ .

Keep your work

Use fictional data. Download a resumable project before changing devices. On a shared device, turn remembering off and clear your work when finished.