Year 6 · Student investigation
When should a new clue change a guess?
Draw, point or explain aloud. A partner or adult may record your words.
Will one clear-sky clue undo two cloudy clues? Does the starting guess matter?
What did you change? What stayed the same? What did you notice?
Set clue reliability to 0.5. Explain why uninformative clues should not change the starting probability.
A clue-by-clue story graph with one observation about evidence strength.
This activity can show _ . It cannot tell us _ . A new case I would test is ____ .
Use fictional data. Download or print your work before leaving.