Year 6 · Student investigation
Does a confident guess have to be right?
Draw, point or explain aloud. A partner or adult may record your words.
Which colour should come next on card 1? Will spreading out the guesses change which word comes first?
What did you change? What stayed the same? What did you notice?
Try every fact card. Find a wrong answer if there is one, then lower the temperature. Does stronger confidence repair it?
A two-card detective report with the supported answer, model probability and one confidence counterexample.
This activity can show _ . It cannot tell us _ . A new case I would test is ____ .
Use fictional data. Download or print your work before leaving.